← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Sep 4, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
| Málaga CF win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Victor Gómez · Málaga CF |
| 22' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 23' | 🟨 | Kevin Villodres · Málaga CF |
| 27' | 🟨 | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
| 46' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 46' | 🟥 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 51' | ⚽ | Umar Sadiq · Almeria |
| 57' | 🟨 | Luis Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 58' | ⚽ | Chumi · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 156.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1577.43 | 1472.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.17 | 15.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.79 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.76 |
| league points | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 6.17 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.01 | 26.25 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.89 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |