← Segunda División 2021 · Fri, Aug 27, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 43% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Alcorcon win | 24% | 4.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.39 |
| Over | 31% | 3.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Juan Aguilera · Alcorcon |
| 32' | 🟨 | David Fernandez · Alcorcon |
| 35' | ⚽ | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 77' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 84' | 🟨 | Abdelhafid Al Badaoui Sabri · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luis Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟥 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 26 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 87.00 | 299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1464.37 | 1441.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.09 | -5.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -1.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.75 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.46 | 30.22 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.21 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |