← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Aug 14, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.90 |
| Alcorcon win | 29% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Alcorcon |
| 48' | 🟥 | Laure · Alcorcon |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ivan Rodríguez · Ponferradina |
| 72' | 🟨 | José Copete · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolás Gorosito · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 1170.00 | 286.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1449.56 | 1466.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.33 | 11.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -1.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 5.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| squad age | 27.61 | 28.81 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |