← Süper Lig 2022 · Mon, Jan 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Bitigen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 66% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.00 |
| Ümraniyespor win | 14% | 7.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +1.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Ümraniyespor +1.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Lincoln · Fenerbahce |
| 73' | ⚽ | Michy Batshuayi · Fenerbahce |
| 78' | ⚽ | Umut Nayir · Ümraniyespor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Michy Batshuayi · Fenerbahce |
| 89' | ⚽ (og) | Tomislav Glumac · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Onur Atasayar · Ümraniyespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Onur Atasayar · Ümraniyespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Orkun Ozdemir · Ümraniyespor |
| 90' | 🟥 | Onur Atasayar · Ümraniyespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miha Zajc · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 22 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ümraniyespor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 844.00 | 236.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 6.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1440.50 | 1752.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.04 | -34.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.64 |
| league points | 14.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 8.27 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 29.72 | 27.23 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |