← Süper Lig 2022 · Tue, Dec 27, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Saka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 71% | 1.34 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.63 |
| Hatayspor win | 11% | 9.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −1.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Hatayspor −1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Sam Adekugbe · Hatayspor |
| 20' | ⚽ | Joshua King · Fenerbahce |
| 26' | ⚽ | Michy Batshuayi · Fenerbahce |
| 51' | 🟨 | Joshua King · Fenerbahce |
| 71' | 🟨 | Bertuğ Yıldırım · Hatayspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Onur Ergün · Hatayspor |
| 86' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gustavo Henrique · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 4 |
| 15 | On target | 0 |
| 11 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 209.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1786.93 | 1492.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.31 | -0.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.73 | 0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.20 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 38.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.24 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.13 | 29.93 |
| state index | 0.76 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |