← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Oct 9, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 69% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.25 |
| Karagumruk win | 13% | 8.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Karagumruk −1.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Miguel Crespo · Fenerbahce |
| 16' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 24' | ⚽ | Jean Evrard Kouassi · Karagumruk |
| 27' | 🟨 | Salih Dursun · Karagumruk |
| 28' | ⚽ | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 55' | 🟨 | Miguel Crespo · Fenerbahce |
| 58' | 🟨 | Otabek Shukurov · Karagumruk |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 71' | 🟨 | Anwan Lawrence · Karagumruk |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| 79' | 🟨 | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 83' | ⚽ | Burak Kapacak · Karagumruk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Michy Batshuayi · Fenerbahce |
| coach days | 130.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.35 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1781.13 | 1555.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.34 | -6.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.22 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.23 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 30.11 |
| state index | 1.38 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.28 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |