← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Oct 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Bayarslan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Fenerbahce win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Fenerbahce +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Miguel Crespo · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | 🟨 | Arthur Masuaku · Besiktas |
| 83' | 🟨 | Michy Batshuayi · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gedson Fernandes · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 1.00 | 123.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 3.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1624.28 | 1776.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.28 | 7.77 |
| eye test v1 | 1.08 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.76 |
| league points | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 2.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | 1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.86 | 26.53 |
| state index | 0.28 | 1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |