← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Apr 14, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Numanoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 67% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.75 |
| Karagumruk win | 13% | 8.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +1.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Fenerbahce +1.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Valentin Eysseric · Karagumruk |
| 26' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Can Keleş · Karagumruk |
| 49' | ⚽ | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
| 55' | 🟨 | Federico Ceccherini · Karagumruk |
| 55' | 🟨 | Bright Osayi-Samuel · Fenerbahce |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Michy Batshuayi · Fenerbahce |
| 74' | 🟨 | Marcão · Karagumruk |
| 76' | 🟥 | Ryan Mendes · Karagumruk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Davide Biraschi · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| 90' | 🟥 | Valentin Eysseric · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miha Zajc · Fenerbahce |
| coach days | 44.00 | 683.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.34 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1523.87 | 1862.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.55 | -14.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| league points | 38.00 | 99.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 11.08 | 2.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | 0.83 |
| solidity v1 | -1.37 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 30.67 | 29.32 |
| state index | -0.74 | 0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.09 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.84 |