← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Mar 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Meler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 47% | 2.03 |
| Trabzonspor win | 28% | 3.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Fenerbahce +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Fenerbahce |
| 13' | ⚽ | Fred · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Fred · Fenerbahce |
| 52' | 🟨 | Enis Destan · Trabzonspor |
| 63' | ⚽ | Enis Bardhi · Trabzonspor |
| 70' | 🟨 | Stefano Denswil · Trabzonspor |
| 75' | 🟨 | Alexander Djiku · Fenerbahce |
| 76' | 🟨 | Eren Elmalı · Trabzonspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Mahmoud Trézéguet · Trabzonspor |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Mahmoud Trézéguet · Trabzonspor |
| 82' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Papara Park |
| 87' | ⚽ | Michy Batshuayi · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Umut Bozok · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jayden Oosterwolde · Fenerbahce |
| coach days | 168.00 | 655.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1612.41 | 1863.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.37 | 14.98 |
| eye test v1 | 1.57 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | -0.74 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.81 |
| league points | 56.00 | 90.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 8.06 | 2.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 2.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 20.80 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.13 | 0.91 |
| solidity v1 | 0.97 | 1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.57 | 27.23 |
| state index | 0.97 | 1.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.11 |