← Süper Lig 2023 · Wed, Dec 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Z. Küçük
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.48 |
| Kayserispor win | 17% | 5.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor +1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Fenerbahce +1 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Cengiz Ünder · Fenerbahce |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ali Karimi · Kayserispor |
| 40' | ⚽ | Michy Batshuayi · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Olivier Kemen · Kayserispor |
| 50' | ⚽ | Michy Batshuayi · Fenerbahce |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Mame Thiam · Kayserispor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Alexander Djiku · Fenerbahce |
| 73' | ⚽ | Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Michy Batshuayi · Fenerbahce |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jayden Oosterwolde · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Majid Hosseini · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fred · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟥 | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟥 | Fred · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 22 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu |
| coach days | 110.00 | 567.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1596.17 | 1823.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.25 | -4.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.83 |
| league points | 35.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 10.04 | 5.84 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 2.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 1.37 |
| solidity v1 | 0.17 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 30.61 | 27.58 |
| state index | 0.71 | 0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 2.42 |