← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Sep 24, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 59% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.49 |
| Alanyaspor win | 18% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor +1 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Fenerbahce +1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
| 34' | 🟨 | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 40' | 🟨 | Richard Cândido · Alanyaspor |
| 43' | ⚽ | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 66' | 🟨 | Ferdi Kadıoğlu · Fenerbahce |
| 75' | 🟨 | Dušan Tadić · Fenerbahce |
| 85' | 🟨 | Michy Batshuayi · Fenerbahce |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alexander Djiku · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anderson Silva · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 2 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Kırbıyık Holding Stadyumu |
| coach days | 176.00 | 480.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1515.10 | 1828.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.52 | 31.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 45.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.78 |
| league points | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.98 |
| solidity v1 | 1.04 | 1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 27.09 |
| state index | -0.07 | 1.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 0.62 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 2.06 |