← Segunda División 2023 · Mon, Apr 8, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Alcorcon win | 19% | 5.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Iago López Carracedo · Alcorcon |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jesús Ruiz Suárez · Alcorcon |
| 43' | 🟨 | Iñigo Vicente · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 43' | 🟨 | Víctor García · Alcorcon |
| 45' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Alcorcon |
| 69' | ⚽ | Víctor García · Alcorcon |
| 72' | 🟨 | Víctor García · Alcorcon |
| 72' | 🟥 | Víctor García · Alcorcon |
| 79' | 🟨 | Chema · Alcorcon |
| 83' | 🟨 | Javier Pérez Mateo · Alcorcon |
| 83' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 13 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 8 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Racing Club de Santander | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Campos de Sport de El Sardinero |
| 83' | 🟥 | Chema · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 494.00 | 950.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1562.90 | 1412.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.29 | 4.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 62.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 9.04 | 8.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 28.63 |
| state index | 0.65 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |