← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Mar 31, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Sesma
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Amorebieta win | 22% | 4.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Amorebieta −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Dyego Sousa · Alcorcon |
| 3' | 🟨 | Unai Bustinza · Amorebieta |
| 4' | ⚽ | Jacobo · Alcorcon |
| 6' | 🟨 | Óscar Rivas · Alcorcon |
| 18' | ⚽ | Eneko Jauregi · Amorebieta |
| 27' | 🟨 | Josep Gayá · Amorebieta |
| 60' | 🟨 | Unai Bustinza · Amorebieta |
| 60' | 🟥 | Unai Bustinza · Amorebieta |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jacobo · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Amorebieta |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 942.00 | 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1413.91 | 1440.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.79 | 55.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 35.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.86 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.61 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.28 | 27.80 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |