← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Mar 23, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Alcorcon win | 26% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Alcorcon +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Abel Bretones · Oviedo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Alcorcon |
| 78' | ⚽ | Pedro Mosquera · Alcorcon |
| 88' | 🟨 | Koldo Obieta Alberdi · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jaime Seoane · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 934.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 3.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1400.85 | 1570.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.08 | 14.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | 1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| league points | 32.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 6.80 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.47 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 28.07 | 28.00 |
| state index | -0.88 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |