← Segunda División 2023 · Mon, Mar 4, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Adrián Cordero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 |
| Alcorcon win | 12% | 8.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Alcorcon −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Mourad El Ghezouani · Elche CF |
| 18' | 🟨 | Juanma Bravo · Alcorcon |
| 27' | ⚽ (pen) | Tete Morente · Elche CF |
| 37' | ⚽ | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Víctor García · Alcorcon |
| 54' | 🟨 | Nicolás Castro · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jean-Sylvain Babin · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 369.00 | 915.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 0.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1562.24 | 1416.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.91 | -4.21 |
| eye test v1 | 1.07 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| league points | 47.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 8.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 13.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 20.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.57 | -1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.82 | 27.98 |
| state index | 0.65 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |