← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Feb 3, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Germán Cid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 47% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Alcorcon win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.5 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Huesca −0.5 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Xavier Quintilla · Alcorcon |
| 69' | 🟨 | Iago López Carracedo · Alcorcon |
| 78' | 🟨 | Iker Kortajarena · Huesca |
| 90' | ⚽ | Samuel Obeng · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 125.00 | 885.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1473.71 | 1421.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.31 | 41.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.89 |
| league points | 27.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.91 | 27.55 |
| state index | -0.51 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |