← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Jan 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.39 |
| Alcorcon win | 13% | 8.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −1.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Albacete −1.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Iago López Carracedo · Alcorcon |
| 41' | 🟨 | Riki Rodríguez · Albacete |
| 71' | 🟨 | Óscar Rivas · Alcorcon |
| 74' | 🟨 | Xavier Quintilla · Alcorcon |
| 84' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Alcorcon |
| 87' | 🟨 | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
| 89' | ⚽ | Dyego Sousa · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 598.00 | 871.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1477.15 | 1407.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.38 | 10.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.60 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.30 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.88 |
| league points | 28.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.99 | 27.10 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |