← Segunda División 2023 · Thu, Dec 21, 08:30 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta win | 44% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Alcorcon win | 25% | 4.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Iago López Carracedo · Alcorcon |
| 34' | ⚽ | Félix Martí · Amorebieta |
| 37' | ⚽ | Koldo Obieta Alberdi · Alcorcon |
| 41' | 🟨 | Víctor García · Alcorcon |
| 43' | 🟨 | Chema · Alcorcon |
| 45' | 🟨 | Manu · Amorebieta |
| 50' | 🟨 | Javier Eraso · Amorebieta |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jacobo · Alcorcon |
| 64' | ⚽ | Víctor García · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eneko Jauregi · Amorebieta |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amorebieta | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2 |
| coach days | 20.00 | 841.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1399.62 | 1394.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.78 | -6.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| league points | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 38.40 |
| rest days | 4.13 | 4.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 28.48 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |