← Segunda División 2023 · Mon, Dec 11, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
| Alcorcon win | 14% | 8.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −1 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Tenerife −1 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Christian Borrego · Alcorcon |
| 64' | ⚽ | Ángel Rodríguez · Tenerife |
| 86' | 🟨 | Juan Artola · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Chema · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Morillas · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iago López Carracedo · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 163.00 | 831.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1513.03 | 1385.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.68 | -22.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.70 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 27.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 9.20 | 8.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.35 | 28.04 |
| state index | -0.26 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |