← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Dec 3, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| Alcorcon win | 28% | 3.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Elche CF +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Tete Morente · Elche CF |
| 21' | 🟨 | Mario Gaspar · Elche CF |
| 44' | 🟨 | Pedro Mosquera · Alcorcon |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Óscar Plano · Elche CF |
| 73' | 🟨 | Óscar Rivas · Alcorcon |
| 77' | 🟨 | Javier Pérez Mateo · Alcorcon |
| 77' | 🟥 | Xavier Quintilla · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 22 |
| 2 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 823.00 | 277.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1396.70 | 1551.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.55 | 16.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 47.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| league points | 16.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.83 | 29.29 |
| state index | -0.60 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |