← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Nov 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Alcorcon win | 23% | 4.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Burgos −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Javier Lara · Alcorcon |
| 19' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Addai · Alcorcon |
| 53' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Burgos |
| 56' | ⚽ | Fernando Niño · Burgos |
| 61' | ⚽ | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 70' | ⚽ | Álex Sancris · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Borja Gonzalez Tejada · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 164.00 | 802.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1461.27 | 1408.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.64 | 24.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| league points | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 6.71 | 6.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.80 | 27.59 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |