← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Nov 5, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Orellana
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 39% | 2.63 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Jacobo · Alcorcon |
| 15' | 🟨 | Dani Fernández · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 49' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Addai · Alcorcon |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jacobo · Alcorcon |
| 73' | 🟨 | Dyego Sousa · Alcorcon |
| 81' | ⚽ | Javier Castro · Alcorcon |
| 85' | ⚽ | Juan Carlos Arana · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 88' | 🟨 | Iago López Carracedo · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Real Racing Club de Santander |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 795.00 | 339.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1390.15 | 1518.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.15 | 18.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 11.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.85 | 26.99 |
| state index | -0.62 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |