← Segunda División 2023 · Mon, Oct 23, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Cartagena win | 25% | 3.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cartagena −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Chema · Alcorcon |
| 15' | ⚽ | Christian Borrego · Alcorcon |
| 43' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Alcorcon |
| 49' | ⚽ | Juan Narváez · Cartagena |
| 57' | 🟨 | Mikel Rico · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 782.00 | 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1398.20 | 1431.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.52 | -24.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| league points | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 8.20 | 9.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.95 | 29.67 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.99 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |