← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Oct 8, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 50% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Alcorcon win | 20% | 4.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Santiago Mouriño · Zaragoza |
| 38' | ⚽ | Juanma Bravo · Alcorcon |
| 45' | 🟨 | Germán Valera · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Christian Borrego · Alcorcon |
| 58' | 🟨 | Jesús Ruiz Suárez · Alcorcon |
| 82' | ⚽ | Yan Eteki · Alcorcon |
| 85' | 🟨 | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Zaragoza |
| 86' | 🟨 | Chema · Alcorcon |
| 87' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivan Azón · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pedro Mosquera |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 341.00 | 767.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1565.33 | 1383.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.93 | -23.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.58 |
| league points | 22.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 5.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.16 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.88 | 27.67 |
| state index | 0.12 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.63 | -1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |