← Segunda División 2023 · Tue, Oct 3, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 38% | 2.63 |
| Alcorcon win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Albacete +0.25 | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Cristian Glauder · Albacete |
| 24' | 🟨 | Dani Escriche · Albacete |
| 28' | ⚽ | Antonio Pacheco · Albacete |
| 45' | 🟨 | Álvaro Rodriguez · Albacete |
| 56' | 🟨 | Toni Datković · Albacete |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Dyego Sousa · Alcorcon |
| 66' | ⚽ | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
| 82' | 🟨 | Alberto Quiles · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego Altube · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 762.00 | 489.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1391.30 | 1521.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.61 | 17.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| league points | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 2.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.35 | 26.79 |
| state index | -0.90 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.99 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |