← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Atilla Karaoglan, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Samsunspor win | 25% | 3.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Besiktas −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under | 44% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Carlo Holse · Samsunspor |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Cengiz Ünder · Besiktas |
| 64' | 🟨 | Emirhan Topçu · Besiktas |
| 66' | ⚽ | Cherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Toni Borevković · Samsunspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriel Paulista · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Tupras Stadium |
| coach days | 326.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 3.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1621.00 | 1623.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.94 | 33.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | 1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.76 |
| league points | 25.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 14.88 | 13.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.95 |
| solidity v1 | 0.50 | 1.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 29.58 | — |
| state index | 0.51 | 1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 0.70 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.77 | 2.37 |