← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastien Dechepy, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Boulogne win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
| Grenoble win | 28% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −0.25 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Boulogne −0.25 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ (pen) | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 57' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Corentin Fatou · Boulogne |
| 80' | ⚽ | Aurelien Platret · Boulogne |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Kone · Boulogne |
| 81' | 🟨 | Clement Vidal · Grenoble |
| 81' | ⚽ | Vincent Burlet · Boulogne |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joffrey Bultel · Boulogne |
| 90' | 🟨 | Souleymane Keita · Boulogne |
| 90' | 🟨 | Souleymane Keita · Boulogne |
| 90' | 🟥 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Boulogne | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade de la Libération |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yadaly Diaby · Grenoble |
| coach days | 1024.00 | 324.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1378.39 | 1444.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.02 | 8.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| league points | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.07 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.94 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |