← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Remi Landry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 58% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Boulogne win | 16% | 5.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.75 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Boulogne −0.75 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Vincent Burlet · Boulogne |
| 26' | 🟨 | Gessime Yassine · Dunkerque |
| 50' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Dunkerque |
| 59' | ⚽ | Thomas Robinet · Dunkerque |
| 72' | 🟨 | Anto Sekongo · Dunkerque |
| 85' | 🟨 | Aristide Zossou · Dunkerque |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joffrey Bultel · Boulogne |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 23 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel Tribut |
| coach days | 129.00 | 1010.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1496.84 | 1373.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.27 | -4.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| league points | 22.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |