← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Lissorgue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 49% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Boulogne win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Boulogne −0.5 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Annecy −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Josué Tiendrebeogo · Annecy |
| 36' | 🟨 | Paul Venot · Annecy |
| 52' | 🟨 | Quentin Paris · Annecy |
| 67' | ⚽ | Corentin Fatou · Boulogne |
| 84' | 🟨 | Sonny Duflos · Boulogne |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sonny Duflos · Boulogne |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nathan Zohoré · Boulogne |
| 90' | 🟥 | Sonny Duflos · Boulogne |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 1644.00 | 1003.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1459.02 | 1369.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.23 | -20.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.66 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| league points | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 2.98 | 2.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |