← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Tue, Oct 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Florent Batta, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reims win | 49% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Boulogne win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reims +0.5 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Boulogne +0.5 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Hiroki Sekine · Reims |
| 10' | ⚽ | Aurelien Platret · Boulogne |
| 18' | ⚽ | Hafiz Umar Ibrahim · Reims |
| 19' | 🟨 | Julien Boyer · Boulogne |
| 27' | ⚽ (pen) | Keito Nakamura · Reims |
| 32' | ⚽ | Teddy Teuma · Reims |
| 34' | ⚽ | Julien Boyer · Boulogne |
| 43' | ⚽ | Keito Nakamura · Reims |
| 47' | ⚽ | Hafiz Umar Ibrahim · Reims |
| 52' | 🟨 | Aurelien Platret · Boulogne |
| 90' | ⚽ | Thiemoko Diarra · Reims |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 4 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Boulogne | Reims |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade de la Libération |
| coach days | 1000.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1383.24 | 1538.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.30 | -23.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 4.06 | 4.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.22 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.81 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |