← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 3, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Ahmed Taleb, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Boulogne win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Amiens win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Boulogne +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Amiens +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟥 | Ibrahim Fofana · Amiens |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sonny Duflos · Boulogne |
| 49' | ⚽ | Adrien Pinot · Boulogne |
| 51' | 🟨 | Aboubacar Lô · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 19 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade de la Licorne |
| coach days | 63.00 | 975.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1404.01 | 1377.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.88 | -10.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 3.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | — |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.00 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |