← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Boulogne win | 36% | 2.64 |
| Pau FC win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Boulogne +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Pau FC +0 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.75 |
| Over | 42% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Antonin Bobichon · Pau FC |
| 5' | 🟨 | Setigui Karamoko · Pau FC |
| 34' | 🟨 | Joffrey Bultel · Boulogne |
| 36' | ⚽ | Antonin Bobichon · Pau FC |
| 43' | ⚽ | Giovani Versini · Pau FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jonas Martin · Boulogne |
| 56' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Kouassi · Boulogne |
| 87' | 🟨 | Salif Lebouath · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 5 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 25 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Boulogne | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade de la Libération |
| coach days | 961.00 | 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1388.83 | 1401.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.59 | 17.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.29 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |