← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Angoula
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 |
| Boulogne win | 19% | 4.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne +0.75 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Boulogne +0.75 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.96 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Zanga Koné · Boulogne |
| 26' | 🟨 | Nathan Zohoré · Boulogne |
| 42' | 🟨 | Demba Thiam · Boulogne |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lucas Stassin · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 74' | ⚽ | Zuriko Davitashvili · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ebenezer Annan · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 85' | 🟨 | Sonny Duflos · Boulogne |
| 90' | 🟨 | Exauce Mpembele Boula · Boulogne |
| 90' | 🟨 | João Ferreira · AS Saint-Étienne |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 11 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Boulogne | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade de la Libération |
| coach days | 934.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1402.30 | 1552.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.66 | 15.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.33 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.67 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.33 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.67 | 5.80 |
| state index | -0.55 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |