← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Aug 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Souifi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 55% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.68 |
| Boulogne win | 19% | 5.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Boulogne −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Zakaria Fdaouch · Nancy |
| 22' | 🟨 | Maxence Carlier · Nancy |
| 33' | 🟨 | Nicolas Saint-Ruf · Nancy |
| 55' | 🟨 | Oumar Sidibe · Nancy |
| 69' | 🟨 | Ćazim Suljić · Nancy |
| 80' | 🟨 | Amine El Farissi · Boulogne |
| 89' | 🟨 | Siad Gourville · Boulogne |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 23 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.29 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| venue | Stade Marcel Picot |
| coach days | 653.00 | 926.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1322.51 | 1394.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.26 | 0.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | — |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 49.50 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 30.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | — |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.06 | 26.92 |
| state index | -0.91 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |