← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 25, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Preußen Münster win | 29% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld +0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Preußen Münster +0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 24.00 | 1029.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| venue | Preussenstadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 4.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1405.00 | 1438.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.95 | -17.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| league points | 29.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.42 |
| solidity v1 | -1.13 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 26.35 |
| state index | -1.38 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 1.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 1.90 |