← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Mar 22, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Schroder
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Preußen Münster win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Preußen Münster +0.25 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 355.00 | 202.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| venue | Preussenstadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1427.92 | 1425.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.38 | -31.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.26 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| league points | 27.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.71 |
| solidity v1 | -1.60 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.80 | 27.21 |
| state index | -0.94 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.31 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 1.64 |