← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Feb 22, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Schwengers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 32% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster +0 | 55% | 1.70 |
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 20 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 327.00 | 327.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| venue | Preussenstadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1458.49 | 1491.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.82 | -33.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.36 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| league points | 24.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | -0.55 |
| solidity v1 | -0.98 | -1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 25.34 |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.13 | 1.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.12 |