← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 5, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Michael Bacher, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Preußen Münster win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Preußen Münster +0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Virgil Ghiță · Hannover |
| 35' | 🟨 | Jorrit Hendrix · Preußen Münster |
| 41' | ⚽ | Benjamin Källman · Hannover |
| 48' | 🟨 | Oscar Vilhelmsson · Preußen Münster |
| 69' | 🟨 | Oliver Batista Meier · Preußen Münster |
| 73' | ⚽ | Daisuke Yokota · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Morten Behrens · Preußen Münster |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daisuke Yokota · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Oliver Batista Meier · Preußen Münster |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Preussenstadion |
| ⚽ |
| Zidan Sertdemir · Preußen Münster |
| coach days | 248.00 | 248.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1450.39 | 1521.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.71 | 29.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 1.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.10 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 18.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 86.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 1.03 |
| solidity v1 | 0.13 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 8.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.72 |