← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 30, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Marc Philip Eckermann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 56% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Preußen Münster win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.75 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Preußen Münster −0.75 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Joel Grodowski · Bielefeld |
| 28' | 🟨 | Monju Momuluh · Bielefeld |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jano ter Horst · Preußen Münster |
| 32' | ⚽ | Oliver Batista Meier · Preußen Münster |
| 41' | 🟨 | Mikkel Kirkeskov · Preußen Münster |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcel Benger · Preußen Münster |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jannis Heuer · Preußen Münster |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jorrit Hendrix · Preußen Münster |
| 69' | 🟨 | Stefano Russo · Bielefeld |
| 75' | 🟨 | Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee · Bielefeld |
| 89' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| ⚽ (og) |
| Leon Schneider · Preußen Münster |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yassine Bouchama · Preußen Münster |
| 3.40 |
| coach days | 883.00 | 243.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.34 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1438.77 | 1438.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.92 | -20.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 20.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | 0.19 |
| solidity v1 | -0.41 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.41 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.73 | 0.90 |