← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 7, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gansloweit, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster win | 37% | 2.55 |
| Greuther Furth win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster +0 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Greuther Furth +0 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Pelle Boevink · Greuther Furth |
| 22' | 🟨 | Yassine Bouchama · Preußen Münster |
| 52' | 🟨 | Mikkel Kirkeskov · Preußen Münster |
| 57' | 🟨 | Luca Bolay · Preußen Münster |
| 77' | 🟨 | Torge Paetow · Preußen Münster |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mathias Olesen · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jannik Dehm · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 3.40 |
| coach days | 190.00 | 220.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1362.02 | 1449.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.50 | -9.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 0.46 |
| solidity v1 | -1.88 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -1.55 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.07 |