← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 26, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kampka, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Preußen Münster win | 27% | 3.51 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Magdeburg −0.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Jano ter Horst · Preußen Münster |
| 49' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · Magdeburg |
| 55' | 🟨 | Torge Paetow · Preußen Münster |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jannis Heuer · Preußen Münster |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Maximilian Breunig · Magdeburg |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jorrit Hendrix · Preußen Münster |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rayan Ghrieb · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Avnet-Arena |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 55.00 | 208.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1398.71 | 1454.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.50 | -30.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| league points | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 63.40 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 8.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.40 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.04 | 1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| state index | -1.35 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |