← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 28, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Richard Hempel, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster win | 45% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Braunschweig win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Braunschweig −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Oscar Vilhelmsson · Preußen Münster |
| 35' | 🟨 | Florian Flick · Braunschweig |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jorrit Hendrix · Preußen Münster |
| 47' | ⚽ | Etienne Amenyido · Preußen Münster |
| 58' | ⚽ | Oliver Batista Meier · Preußen Münster |
| 69' | ⚽ | Erencan Yardımcı · Braunschweig |
| 72' | 🟨 | Louis Breunig · Braunschweig |
| 79' | 🟨 | Charalambos Makridis · Preußen Münster |
| 81' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Braunschweig |
| 82' | 🟨 | Sven Köhler · Braunschweig |
| 89' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Preussenstadion |
| 🟨 |
| Etienne Amenyido · Preußen Münster |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 180.00 | 58.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1458.98 | 1371.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.92 | -41.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.00 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| league points | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.20 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.54 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.33 | -1.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.37 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |