← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 19, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Schwengers, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 47% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
| Preußen Münster win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster −0.5 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.5 | 47% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · Kaiserslautern |
| 9' | 🟨 | Luca Bolay · Preußen Münster |
| 17' | ⚽ | Naatan Skyttä · Kaiserslautern |
| 24' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · Kaiserslautern |
| 30' | 🟨 | Rico Preißinger · Preußen Münster |
| 43' | 🟨 | Naatan Skyttä · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marvin Schulz · Preußen Münster |
| 50' | ⚽ | Oscar Vilhelmsson · Preußen Münster |
| 55' | 🟨 | Maxwell Gyamfi · Kaiserslautern |
| 64' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · Kaiserslautern |
| 66' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Fritz Walter Stadion |
| 🟨 |
| Fabian Kunze · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jano ter Horst · Preußen Münster |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 171.00 | 171.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1479.51 | 1473.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.48 | 0.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 48.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.76 |
| league points | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 88.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 61.00 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | 1.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 1.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |