← 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 · Fri, Aug 22, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Wienefeld
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Nurnberg win | 29% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Fabio Gruber · Nurnberg |
| 20' | 🟨 | Henri Koudossou · Nurnberg |
| 32' | ⚽ | Oliver Batista Meier · Preußen Münster |
| 43' | ⚽ | Marvin Schulz · Preußen Münster |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jannis Heuer · Preußen Münster |
| 47' | 🟨 | Caspar Jander · Nurnberg |
| 58' | 🟨 | Marvin Schulz · Preußen Münster |
| 73' | 🟨 | Berkay Yılmaz · Nurnberg |
| 74' | ⚽ | Rafael Lubach · Nurnberg |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jan Reichert · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Preussenstadion |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luka Lochoshvili · Nurnberg |
| coach days | 143.00 | 447.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1465.15 | 1402.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.09 | -8.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.00 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |