← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, May 9, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Preußen Münster win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Preußen Münster +0 | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Jorrit Hendrix · Preußen Münster |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniel Kyerewaa · Preußen Münster |
| 54' | 🟨 | Niko Koulis · Preußen Münster |
| 69' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Maza · Hertha |
| 70' | ⚽ | Jorrit Hendrix · Preußen Münster |
| 74' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Preußen Münster |
| 77' | 🟥 | Linus Gechter · Hertha |
| 80' | 🟨 | Etienne Amenyido · Preußen Münster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Preußen-Stadion |
| coach days |
| 38.00 |
| 97.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1459.79 | 1458.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.71 | 31.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.30 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.65 |
| league points | 36.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |