← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, May 2, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Prigan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 65% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.90 |
| Preußen Münster win | 15% | 6.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster −1.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Magdeburg −1.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under | 34% | 2.89 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Jano ter Horst · Preußen Münster |
| 12' | ⚽ | Jorrit Hendrix · Preußen Münster |
| 15' | ⚽ | Marc Lorenz · Preußen Münster |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Lorenz · Preußen Münster |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jean Hugonet · Magdeburg |
| 52' | ⚽ | Joshua Mees · Preußen Münster |
| 54' | ⚽ | Daniel Kyerewaa · Preußen Münster |
| 75' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Dominik Schad · Preußen Münster |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bryan Silva Teixeira · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Avnet Arena |
| coach days |
| 121.00 |
| 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1513.68 | 1432.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.42 | -21.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 54.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |