← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 26, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: L. Benen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Preußen Münster win | 32% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Lukas Frenkert · Preußen Münster |
| 7' | 🟨 | Clemens Riedel · Darmstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sergio López · Darmstadt |
| 45' | ⚽ | Luca Marseiler · Darmstadt |
| 49' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Preußen Münster |
| 62' | ⚽ | Joshua Mees · Preußen Münster |
| 69' | 🟨 | Andreas Müller · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson · Preußen Münster |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joshua Mees · Preußen Münster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Preußen-Stadion |
| coach days |
| 25.00 |
| 237.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.36 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1433.44 | 1445.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.28 | 10.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| league points | 32.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |