← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 20, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 67% | 1.43 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.13 |
| Preußen Münster win | 14% | 6.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln −1.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Preußen Münster −1.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.49 |
| Under | 36% | 2.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Tim Lemperle · 1. FC Köln |
| 34' | 🟨 | Jan Thielmann · 1. FC Köln |
| 39' | ⚽ (og) | Timo Hübers · Preußen Münster |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Luca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln |
| 56' | ⚽ | Damion Downs · 1. FC Köln |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Preußen Münster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | RheinEnergieSTADION |
| coach days |
| 293.00 |
| 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1555.90 | 1441.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.98 | 0.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 55.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.50 | — |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |