← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 13, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Karlsruhe win | 28% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Louey Ben Farhat · Karlsruhe |
| 7' | 🟨 | Niko Koulis · Preußen Münster |
| 48' | 🟨 | Luca Bazzoli · Preußen Münster |
| 55' | 🟨 | Louey Ben Farhat · Karlsruhe |
| 60' | 🟨 | Joshua Mees · Preußen Münster |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Lorenz · Preußen Münster |
| 77' | 🟨 | Charalambos Makridis · Preußen Münster |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mikkel Kirkeskov · Preußen Münster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Preußen-Stadion |
| coach days |
| 12.00 |
| 1898.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1442.37 | 1471.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.32 | -17.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| league points | 31.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |