← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 9, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Erbst
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Preußen Münster win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Preußen Münster +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Rico Preißinger · Preußen Münster |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jano ter Horst · Preußen Münster |
| 34' | 🟨 | Florian Pick · Preußen Münster |
| 59' | 🟨 | Jorrit Hendrix · Preußen Münster |
| 65' | 🟨 | Tim Janisch · Nurnberg |
| 82' | ⚽ | Lukas Schleimer · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Preußen-Stadion |
| coach days |
| 1894.00 |
| 281.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1438.05 | 1431.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.17 | 28.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.90 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| league points | 24.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.06 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |